{"id":184,"date":"2026-05-10T13:00:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-10T13:00:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/californiamovingreport.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/10\/california-republicans-who-flipped-seats-in-2024-are-fighting-to-keep-them-5\/"},"modified":"2026-05-10T13:00:13","modified_gmt":"2026-05-10T13:00:13","slug":"california-republicans-who-flipped-seats-in-2024-are-fighting-to-keep-them-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/californiamovingreport.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/10\/california-republicans-who-flipped-seats-in-2024-are-fighting-to-keep-them-5\/","title":{"rendered":"California Republicans who flipped seats in 2024 are fighting to keep them"},"content":{"rendered":"
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In 2024, California Republicans flipped three legislative seats amid a nationwide rightward shift that helped elect President Donald Trump.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Read more Tech regulation gets personal: How Tom Steyer\u2019s brother could shape California\u2019s AI future<\/a><\/p>\n

Now, they must play defense.<\/p>\n

Two of the seats they flipped in the state Assembly are up for reelection. Republicans are also fending off challenges in a few other purple districts.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Defending their seats will be a tall task: The president\u2019s party almost always loses in downballot races during the midterms, and Trump\u2019s approval rating has slipped.<\/p>\n

Democratic challengers in those hot races are bashing GOP incumbents for failing to defend Californians from Trump\u2019s actions.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cCalifornia Republicans have spent a decade wrapping their arms around Donald Trump, so they can\u2019t run away from the president\u2019s record,\u201d said California Democratic Party Chair Rusty Hicks.\u00a0<\/p>\n

For embattled Republicans, it\u2019ll be crucial to keep Trump at arm\u2019s length, GOP consultants and local party chairs agree.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Assembly District 58<\/strong><\/p>\n

The dynamic is playing out in the rematch between Assemblymember Leticia Castillo, a Corona Republican, and Clarissa Cervantes, a Democrat and Riverside city councilmember who lost to Castillo by fewer than 600 votes in 2024. Republicans slammed Cervantes for her two drunk driving convictions, and Castillo won despite being heavily outspent: Her campaign raised just $78,000 compared to Cervantes\u2019 $1 million.<\/p>\n

This time, Cervantes, whose sister Sen. Sabrina Cervantes previously held this seat, is banking on voters who\u2019ve grown frustrated with the high cost of living Trump promised to bring down. In a CalMatters interview, she pointed to the war in Iran that has sent gas prices skyrocketing, saying Castillo is complacent about Trump\u2019s policies. Castillo has focused on \u201cconspiracy theories and culture wars,\u201d Cervantes argued, referring to a bill the Republican authored to keep transgender women out of locker rooms and restrooms.<\/p>\n

\u201cShe\u2019s not getting anything done for us,\u201d Cervantes said.<\/p>\n

Castillo did not make herself available to CalMatters for this story. In an early April interview, she blamed high gas prices on California regulations, which she said drove up refinery closures.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Still, Castillo tried to separate herself from Trump. \u201cI get people just want to continue to say, \u2018Trump, Trump, Trump.\u2019 At the end of the day, we\u2019re in California, and Trump doesn\u2019t rule here.\u201d<\/p>\n

Assembly District 36<\/strong><\/p>\n

Further inland, GOP Assemblymember Jeff Gonzalez of Coachella, who shocked Capitol watchers by flipping the left-leaning Latino-majority district in 2024, faces three Democrats: Indio City Councilmember Oscar Ortiz, former El Centro Mayor Tom\u00e1s Oliva, and Imperial City Councilmember Ida Obeso-Martinez. None of the Democrats secured a party endorsement.<\/p>\n

Gonzalez, a former Marine who joined the bipartisan legislative Problem Solvers Caucus that pledges to \u201cput people over party,\u201d has had to walk a fine line on immigration. He sought to justify Trump\u2019s deployment of troops in Los Angeles last year as \u201cstepping up.\u201d He also signed a caucus letter to Congress last year advocating for a path for legal status for undocumented immigrants.\u00a0<\/p>\n

That did not stop Democratic challengers from linking him to Trump\u2019s immigration enforcement. \u201cWe \u2026 see him staying silent on some of the toughest issues that we have in our community,\u201d Ortiz said. \u201cOur children are rotting away in prison cells at the moment, and he doesn\u2019t seem to be bothered by it.\u201d<\/p>\n

Gonzalez declined a CalMatters interview request, but said in a statement that he\u2019s \u201cfocused on real results\u201d and blamed both parties for using immigration as \u201ca political chess piece.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cOur district made it clear they were tired of the status quo and wanted real change when it comes to leadership, and I have kept my promise to deliver just that,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

Here are some other competitive legislative races we\u2019re watching.<\/p>\n

Vulnerable Republicans<\/h2>\n

AD 7<\/strong><\/p>\n

In this northeastern Sacramento County district, Republican incumbent Josh Hoover unseated then-Democratic Assemblymember Ken Cooley after the district shifted rightward in 2020. The district, which includes cities like Citrus Heights, Folsom and Rancho Cordova, has slightly more registered Democrats than Republicans. In 2024, voters supported Kamala Harris for president but re-elected Hoover by 7%.<\/p>\n

Candidates: Josh Hoover [R] \u2013 incumbent Republican; Amy Slavensky [D] \u2013 former Amador County USD superintendent; Vance Taylor [D] \u2013 chief of the Office of Access and Functional Needs at CalOES<\/p>\n

AD47<\/strong><\/p>\n

This district, which includes both deep-blue Palm Springs and its conservative outskirts, is a target for Democrats. Republican incumbent Greg Wallis won by 85 votes in 2022, becoming the only Republican that year to win a legislative district that voted for Newsom. Wallis held onto his seat in 2024 even though the district voted Democratic in statewide contests.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Candidates: Jason Byors [D] \u2013 computer programmer; Leila Namvar [D] \u2013 former local labor leader and city planner; Greg Wallis [R] \u2013 incumbent <\/p>\n

AD74<\/strong><\/p>\n

This district contains Republican-leaning stretches of Orange and San Diego counties and liberal parts of San Diego County. While registered Republicans slightly outnumber Democrats, voters picked former President Joe Biden by 6.2% in 2020 and Harris by 1.9% in 2024. Republican incumbent Laurie Davies, who is seeking re-election, fended off a Democratic challenge by 1.7% in 2024.<\/p>\n

Candidates: Laurie Davies [R] \u2013 incumbent; Sergio Farias [D] \u2013 former mayor and current councilmember of San Juan Capistrano<\/p>\n

Read more In the six-way race to be California\u2019s treasurer, it likely comes down to two Democrats<\/a><\/p>\n

Vulnerable Democrats<\/h2>\n

SD 38<\/strong><\/p>\n

Republicans are seeking to unseat State Sen. Catherine Blakespear, an Encinitas Democrat who won the coastal seat by less than 5% in 2022. The district north of San Diego has historically been a toss-up, but has swung Democratic in recent years. Coastal development and preservation are a huge topic in this race.<\/p>\n

Candidates: Laura Bassett [R] \u2013 professional fiduciary; Catherine Blakespear [D] \u2013 incumbent <\/p>\n

Competitive open seats<\/h3>\n

SD 10<\/strong><\/p>\n

A crowd of Democrats in this South Bay Area-based district are seeking to succeed Sen. Aisha Wahab, a Fremont Democrat who is running for Congress.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Candidates:<\/p>\n

David Cohen [D] \u2013 San Jose city councilmember; Raymond Liu [D] \u2013 Fremont city councilmember; Carmen Montano [D] \u2013 mayor of Milpitas; Scott Sakakihara [D] \u2013 Union City councilmember<\/p>\n

SD 14<\/strong><\/p>\n

This Central Valley district, which includes Fresno, Merced and other agriculture-dependent cities, has trended rightward in recent years and is a top GOP target. Still, Democratic Assemblymember Esmeralda Soria is considered the frontrunner.<\/p>\n

Candidates:<\/p>\n

Darin DuPont [R] \u2013 Merced city councilmember; Esmeralda Hurtado [D] \u2013 Sanger city councilmember; Esmeralda Soria [D] \u2013 State assemblymember<\/p>\n

SD 24<\/strong><\/p>\n

In this heavily Democratic Southern California district covering cities including Malibu and Santa Monica, a mad dash is on to replace Sen. Ben Allen, who is running for insurance commissioner. Wildfire and homeowner insurance are hot topics in this district heavily impacted by the fires last year.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Candidates:<\/p>\n

Eric Alegria [D] \u2013 Palos Verdes Peninsula Unified School Board member; John Erickson [D] -West Hollywood city councilmember; Ellen Evans [D] \u2013 Bel Air-Beverly Crest Neighborhood Council member; Brian Goldsmith [D] \u2013 former Democratic Majority for Israel senior advisor; Michael Newhouse [D] \u2013 small businessperson; Sion Roy [D] \u2013 physician; Zennon Ulyate-Crow [D] \u2013 nonprofit executive director; Kristina Irwin [R] \u2013 Real estate agent; Glenn Marshall [R] \u2013 director at the California Taxpayers Action Network<\/p>\n

SD 26<\/strong><\/p>\n

This is yet another deep-blue seat up for grabs after Sen. Maria Elena Durazo terms out at the end of the year. It includes several immigrant enclaves in downtown Los Angeles and the city of Vernon.<\/p>\n

Candidates:<\/p>\n

Juan Camacho [D] \u2013 Equality California Institute Board president; Wendy Carrillo [D] \u2013 former assemblymember and healthcare advocate; Sara Hernandez [D] \u2013 president of the L.A. Community College District Board of Trustees; Maebe Pudlo [D] \u2013 Silver Lake Neighborhood councilmember; Sarah Rasc\u00f3n [D] \u2013 Los Angeles Area Planning commissioner<\/p>\n

SD 40\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

This Inland San Diego County-based purple district is a top Democratic target, as Senate Minority Leader Brian Jones, a moderate Republican from San Diego, terms out at the end of 2026. The district leans Republican but has become more Democratic over the years. Republicans are split on Jones\u2019 successor: A San Marcos city councilmember Jones endorsed or a far-right firebrand.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Candidates:<\/p>\n

Kristie Bruce-Lane [R] \u2013 two-time candidate for state Assembly; Mara Elliott [D] \u2013 former San Diego city attorney; Ed Musgrove [R] \u2013 San Marcos city councilmember <\/p>\n

AD 12<\/strong><\/p>\n

This Marin County district is a safe Democratic stronghold, and a five-way Democratic primary is on to succeed Assemblymember Damon Connolly, who is running for state Senate. No Democrat secured a party endorsement.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Candidates:<\/p>\n

Eli Beckman [D] \u2013 Corte Madera mayor; Eryn Cervantes [R]\u00a0 \u2013 corrections official; Jackie Elward [D]\u00a0 \u2013 Rohnert Park councilmember; Eric Lucan [D]\u00a0 \u2013 Marin County supervisor; Steve Schwartz [D]\u00a0 \u2013 nonprofit executive and farmer; Holli Thier [D]\u00a0 \u2013 Tiburon councilmember<\/p>\n

AD 27<\/strong><\/p>\n

This Central Valley seat being vacated by Democratic Assemblymember Esmeralda Soria, who is running for Senate, is a top target for Republicans. The Latino-majority district has more registered Democrats than Republicans but voted for Trump in 2024 after favoring Biden in 2020.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Candidates:<\/p>\n

Mike Murphy [D] \u2013 former Merced mayor; Brian Pacheco [D] \u2013 Fresno County supervisor; Japjeet Singh Uppal [D] \u2013 Livingston councilmember<\/p>\n

AD 35<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Kern County-based Latino-majority district, vacated by Democratic Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains, who is running for Congress, has also swung rightward: Harris won it by just 0.3% in 2024, whereas Biden carried it by 21% in 2020. There are nearly twice as many registered Democrats than Republicans.<\/p>\n

Candidates:<\/p>\n

Saul Ayon [R] \u2013 McFarland mayor; Andrae Gonzales [D] \u2013 Bakersfield city councilmember; Ana Palacio [D] \u2013 Emergency room nurse<\/p>\n

AD 65<\/strong><\/p>\n

This deep-blue open seat to succeed Assemblymember Mike Gipson, a Gardena Democrat who is termed out, has attracted a flurry of Democratic candidates. Some of the state\u2019s most powerful Democratic groups are split: Compton Unified School District trustee Ayanna Davis is endorsed by the state Democratic Party and several major labor unions, whereas Fatima Iqbal-Zubair, chair of the California Progressive Caucus, is backed by SEIU California and the California Teachers Union.<\/p>\n

Candidates:<\/p>\n

Eugene Allen [D] \u2013 medical doctor; Ayanna Davis [D] \u2013 Compton Unified School District trustee; Fatima Iqbal-Zubair [D] \u2013 chair of California Progressive Caucus; Lamar Lyons [D] \u2013 San Pedro Central Neighborhood Council president; Magali Sanchez-Hall [D] \u2013 project manager at UCLA<\/p>\n

Read more For the lone woman left in the California governor\u2019s race, it\u2019s all about \u2018temperament\u2019<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n


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California Republicans are defending their legislative gains in this year\u2019s election; Democrats tie them to Trump’s unpopularity in 2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[7,11,12,3],"class_list":["post-184","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-california-democratic-party","tag-california-legislature","tag-california-republican-party","tag-election-2026"],"yoast_head":"\nCalifornia Republicans who flipped seats in 2024 are fighting to keep them - California Relocation Guide<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/californiamovingreport.com\/index.php\/2026\/05\/10\/california-republicans-who-flipped-seats-in-2024-are-fighting-to-keep-them-5\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"California Republicans who flipped seats in 2024 are fighting to keep them - 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